Tomorrow’s apparel industry: products, markets, sourcing and processes – forecasts to 2017
This report is intended to stimulate thinking. It is a think piece about the future of the apparel industry. It should encourage apparel industry executives to consider what is going to shape their industry. In the previous edition the shaping of the industry concerned itself with future products, markets and processes in the apparel industry.
What has changed since the previous edition?
Individual changes in the market, in merchandise, in distribution, and in the political, social and economic world will be considered in depth in their respective chapters. But the major changes in the world affecting the apparel industry, in both developed and developing regions in the last eighteen months may be summed up as:
- Raw materials, especially cotton, shortages and hence fairly dramatic rising fabric prices.
- Increasing labour costs in low cost countries.
- Oil price increases, caused by political instability, impacting on transportation costs.
- Political instability affecting delivery reliability, particularly from suppliers in North Africa and the Middle East.
- The continuing ethical debate about sustainability, the environment and fair trade.
These are the factors influencing our predictions and forecasts of the future of the global apparel industry.
The report contains analysis of the world apparel manufacturing and retail markets, after the current downturn, with future predictions. It looks at recent merchandise trends, market and distribution, sourcing and production, the supply chain, technology, and macro-economic and political issues. All subjects contain our views on recent situations and the likely short-term scenarios.
Combining analysis with forecast data, this is an essential guide to the state your industry is in right now and what will likely happen throughout the supply chain over the short-term future.
Table of contents
Chapter 1 Introduction, the previous tomorrow’s apparel industry report reviewed
The previous edition
What has changed since the previous edition?
Definition of apparel
Methodology for market forecasts
Methodology for the other forecasts
Chapter 2 The market, after the current downturn, with likely future scenarios
The nature of the current downturn in apparel markets
The market in 2007
The market in the current downturn at 2011
The market, likely future scenarios to 2017
just-style’s view of the likely future of the market, in comparison with the 2010 edition
Chapter 3 Recent merchandise trends and product changes, with likely future scenarios
Are there any merchandise product changes about to happen?
The product mix in 2007
The product mix, likely future scenarios in 2017
The impact of product changes
just-style’s view of the likely future of product trends
Chapter 4 Market and distribution evolution, after the current downturn, with likely future scenarios
What is meant by distribution?
Distribution in 2007
Distribution in the current downturn in 2011
Distribution, likely future scenarios in 2017
just-style’s view of the likely future of apparel distribution
Chapter 5 The industry, after the current downturn, with likely future scenarios
Methodology of calculating the industry’s wholesale value
The industry at wholesale prices in 2007
The industry in the current downturn in 2011
The industry, likely future scenarios in 2017
just-style’s view of the likely future of the apparel industry
Chapter 6 Sourcing and production, after the current downturn, with likely future scenarios
Supply chain complications
Brands and wholesalers
Branded and external manufacturers
Fabric and other material suppliers
Simple and complex supply chains
Value added in the supply chain
The role of production
Production in the world’s regions in total
Production in the world’s regions split by garment destination region
just-style’s view of likely future sourcing and production in the apparel industry
Chapter 7 Supply chain external influences impacting the apparel industry
Geography, language and culture.
The lure of low labour cost country sourcing
Cotton, direct labour cost and the cost of oil within freight
The freight calculation
Production costs and supply lead times
Chapter 8 Other external influences impacting the apparel industry
What are the external influences?
The state of the euro zone
Political instability in North Africa and the Middle East
The weakness of the retail industry generally
The Japanese earthquake and nuclear disasters
World garment manufacturing figures
Site supply chain facilities close to each other
South America as a manufacturing region
Change the manufacturing process
Chapter 9 technology and computer systems in the apparel industry
Recent apparel industry computer expert views
Product lifecycle management, the new holy grail?
Chapter 10 politics and economics
Unemployment and domestic apparel manufacturing
Environmental issues and domestic manufacturing
Chapter 11 winners and losers
List of tables
Table 1: Apparel market values and share by region at retail prices, 2007-2017
Table 2: Apparel market values and share by product at retail prices, 2007-2017
Table 3: Apparel market values and share by distribution route at retail prices, 2007-2017
Table 4: Apparel industry values and share by region at wholesale prices, 2007-2017
Figure 1: The supply chain in the apparel industry - from producer to consumer
Table 5: Apparel production values and share by region at producer prices, 2007-2017
Table 6: Apparel production values and share by region, 2011
Table 7: Relative cost of regional supply of a typical five-pocket western jean
Table 8: Freight calculation (container from China)
Table 9: Forecast scenario probability percentages for 2017