UK Retail Forecasts & Sector Summaries to 2015
UK Retail Forecasts & Sector Summaries to 2015 provides updated and comprehensive data on the performance of the UK retail sector and nine major individual sub-sectors. It forecasts annual market size, growth rates and drivers, and explains the key trends and issues that retailers face as the economy and consumers face more austerity.
- Produce effective strategic plans with these updated and comprehensive forecasts for all the major retail sectors
- Ensure investment is targeted at the most productive sectors and channels and maximise store potential and profitability
- Benchmark your business against market metrics and highlight risks and opportunities
With average growth of just 1.9% to 2015, only the strong will survive. Non-food sectors are particularly hard hit as consumers focus on essentials and cut back on big ticket and discretionary spend. Non-food will lose 2.7% points in retail spending.
There is a major change in space as online takes yet more share of spend - particularly in sectors where digital delivery replaces physical product. Though online growth is slowing it will account for nearly 14.0% of all spending by 2015.
Pent up demand and an uplift in the housing market will help home related sectors recover from 2013 onwards, but coming from a much reduced base the recovery will be slow.
- What are the growth prospects for retail and individual sectors to 2015 and what are the drivers and inhibitors?
- What impact will low growth and online sales have on the productivity and size of stores in different sectors?
- Which sectors will produce the strongest growth and what will be the factors driving this?
Table of contents
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•Low growth will challenge all retailers over the next five yearsâ€¦
Retail year-on-year growth will average just 1.9% over 2010â€“15 â€¦
â€¦ meaning only the strongest will survive;
Non-food will be the main casualty, losing 2.7 points in share of retail spending;
An improvement in the housing market will help non-food from 2013, but deflation will return as competition heats up;
Food & grocery will win share helped by inflation throughout the period;
Sectors relating to personal wellbeing will continue to grow the fastest;
Online will continue to outperform, accounting for nearly 14.0% of spend in 2015;
Retailers are reducing physical space, enlarging average store size and improving sales densities to remain viable.
•Help and tips to use the annual forecasts
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•Table: Principle sources of data and information
•Figure: Verdict forecasting methodology