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Global Footwear Market: Athletic and non-Athletic Shoes, The

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Footwear is a huge and increasingly diversified business, driven by a host of demographic, lifestyle and fashion trends. As a result, the category is being segmented ever more finely as seen in the diversity of mainstream footwear trends—from casual comfort to sexy stiletto, and the fact that, in recent years, a far greater range of styles has become acceptable in the U.S. workplace. The liberalization of footwear norms coincided with an era of greed and seemingly endless conspicuous consumption where $150 sneakers and $500 pumps were easily consumed with ever-expanding consumer credit.

However, with a new economic reality comes a paradigm shift in the consumer mindset. For some consumers, charge now and pay later has been replaced with pay now or don’t buy at all. Instead of feeling good about expensive or ostentatious brands as they have in the past, many consumers will increasingly feel good about getting the best value, making the smartest choice, or not spending at all in 2009. The surge in frugality has brought back a variety of money-saving behaviors from days of yore, such as layaway and home cooked meals. Even cobblers are all making a comeback.

Though the market for footwear in the U.S. grew at an annual rate of six percent between 2004 and 2008, growth in 2008 was much more subdued at less than two percent. For the footwear industry, an ongoing consumer paradigm shift in attitudes towards more frugality and less conspicuous consumption means high-flying fashion brands may suffer at the expense of less expensive alternatives. But can the major marketers and retailers adapt?

The U.S. Market for Footwear examines these questions and many others by looking at the current market, trends, major brands, and consumer preferences. The report presents concise, thought provoking analysis of various aspects of the footwear industry and provides a forecast for the market through 2013.

About the Author

Cogitamus Consulting is a branding and market research boutique in NYC that's all about hard work, imagination and common sense. Working with our clients, we custom tailor solutions and provide creative, thought-provoking analysis that address the most pertinent questions facing marketers, through general business consulting, white papers, and branded product concept and strategy development.

Global Footwear Market: Athletic and non-Athletic Shoes, The

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
Scope of Report
Product Categories
Methodology
Global Footwear Market
Global Footwear Market Rises 2% Driven by Asia, Latin America
Figure 1-1: Global Footwear Retail Market, 2004-2008 (in billions $)
Unit Volume Declines Globally
Figure 1-2: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
U.S. Footwear Retail Market
U.S. Footwear Market Flat
Figure 1-3: U.S. Footwear Retail Market and Percent of Global Footwear Market, 2004-2008 (in billions $)
U.S. Unit Volume Declines
Figure 1-4: U.S. Footwear Apparent Consumption by Volume and Percent of Global Footwear Market, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Imports Dominate U.S. Market
Figure 1-5: Share U.S. Footwear Import Volume by Top 10 Countries of Origin, 2008 (%)
U.S. Footwear Sales by Consumer Group & Major Product Category
Figure 1-6: Share of U.S. Footwear Retail Sales by Consumer Group and Major Product Category, 2008 (%)
Global Footwear Market Forecast
Global Footwear Market to Reach $238 Billion by 2013
Figure 1-7: Global Footwear Retail Market Forecast, 2008-2013 (in billions $).9
Global Unit Volume Consumption to Reach 12.1 Billion Pairs
Figure 1-8: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast, 2008-2013 (in millions of pairs)
U.S. Footwear Market
U.S. Footwear Market to Suffer from Thriftier Consumer Habits
Figure 1-9: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Forecast, 2008-2013 (in billions $)
Unit Volume Declines Globally
Figure 1-10: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast, 2008-2013 (in millions of pairs)
Footwear Retail Sales by Major Channels
Figure 1-11: Share of U.S. Footwear Sales by Major Channel, 2008 (%)
Competitive Landscape
Footwear Market Highly Fragmented
Table 1-1: Selected Footwear Marketers with Footwear Sales Greater Than $1 Billion, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Marketplace and Consumer Trends
Down Economy Means Thriftier Consumer
Fashion and Footwear Industries Feeling the Pinch
Figure 1-12: Quarterly Clothing and Clothing Accessory Store Sales, 1992-Q1, 2009 (in billions $)
Consumer Footwear Expenditures
Kids Footwear Has Three Protections
Company Ethics and Added Values Important to Consumers
Counterfeiting, a Dangerous Business
Industry Hopes to See End Depression-Era Tax
Style and Innovation Trends: Personalized Footwear
Comfort versus Style: Footwear No longer Easily Categorized
Technology Offers Good Shoes and Good Health
Aggressive Designs Versus Staid Style
Marketing Outreach
Recession Time to Engage Loyal Consumers
Integration Important as Media Preferences Shift
Jimmy Choo Out of The Shoe Box Thinking
Virtual Marketing and Etail Make Most of Recession Dollars
All the Simplicity of Email
Make Use of Alternative Advertising Media
The Puma Past Masher
Behavioral Targeting in Diverse Consumer Market
Word-of-Mouth Increasingly Important
Social Networking to Play Big Part in WOM
Don’t Forget the Human Touch
Product Placement Opportunities Abound
Nike Active in Broadcast Placement
Reliance on Sports Icons Shifting More to Celebrity
Payless and Summer Rayne Oakes Go Green
Footwear Consumer
Men’s Athletic Footwear Penetration Levels Highest at 20%
Table 1-2: Total Consumer Penetration Levels for Men’s Footwear Bought in the Past 12 Months, 2004-2009 (%)
Women’s Non-Athletic Footwear Penetration Levels Highest at 23%
Table 1-3: Consumer Penetration Levels for Women’s Footwear Bought in the Past 12 Months, 2004-2009 (%)
For Footwear, Consumers Shop Wal-Mart Most
Table 1-4: Consumer Penetration Levels for Stores Shopped Most Often for Shoes, by Women, Men and Total Population, 2006-2008 (%)

Chapter 2: The Market
Scope of Report
Product Categories
Methodology
Global Footwear Market
Global Footwear Market Rises 2% Driven by Asia, Latin America
European Growth Tempers
U.S. Drags the Global Market Down
Figure 2-1: Global Footwear Retail Market, 2004-2008 (in billions $)
Global Five-Year Growth at 6%
Table 2-1: Global Footwear Retail Market and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Unit Volume Declines Globally
Figure 2-2: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Table 2-2: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
U.S. Footwear Retail Market
U.S. Footwear Market Flat
Figure 2-3: U.S. Footwear Retail Market and Percent of Global Footwear Market, 2004-2008 (in billions $)
U.S. Market Losing Global Dominance
Table 2-3: U.S. Footwear Retail Market and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
U.S. Unit Volume Declines
Figure 2-4: U.S. Footwear Apparent Consumption by Volume and Percent of Global Footwear Market, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Table 2-4: U.S. Footwear Apparent Consumption by Volume and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Imports Dominate U.S. Market
Figure 2-5: U.S. Footwear Import Volume and Percent of Apparent Consumption, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Table 2-5: U.S. Footwear Import Volume and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
China Imports Declining
Is Vietnam the New China for U.S. Imports?
Table 2-6: U.S. Footwear Import Volume by Top 10 Countries of Origin, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)
Figure 2-6: U.S. Footwear Import Volume Shares, by Top 10 Countries of Origin, 2008 (%)
U.S. Footwear Sales by Consumer Group: Women, Men, Kids
Table 2-7: U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Consumer Group, Women, Men, Kids, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Figure 2-7: Share of U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Consumer Group, 2008 (%)
U.S. Footwear Sales by Major Product Category
Table 2-8: U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Major Product Category, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Figure 2-8: Share of U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Major Product Category, 2008 (%)
U.S. Footwear Sales by Consumer Group & Major Product Category
Women’s, Children’s Athletic Footwear Strong
Men’s, Children’s Non-Athletic Decline
Table 2-9: U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Consumer & Major Product Type, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Women’s Non-Athletic, Men’s Athletic Growth Stable
Figure 2-9: Share of U.S. Footwear Retail Sales by Consumer Group and Major Product Category, 2008 (%)
Global Footwear Market Forecast
Global Footwear Market to Reach $238 Billion by 2013
Figure 2-10: Global Footwear Retail Market Forecast, 2008-2013 (in billions $)
Global Growth at Annual Rate of 4%
Table 2-10: Global Footwear Retail Market and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions $)
Global Unit Volume Consumption to Reach 12.1 Billion Pairs
Figure 2-11: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast, 2008-2013 (in millions of pairs)
Table 2-11: Global Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions of pairs)
U.S. Footwear Market
U.S. Footwear Market to Suffer from Thriftier Consumer Habits
Figure 2-12: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Forecast, 2008-2013 (in billions $)
U.S. Global Market Share to Drop Two Points by 2013
Overall Growth Estimated at 1% Annually to Reach $48.4 Billion
Table 2-12: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Segments to Show Similar Growth
Table 2-13: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Forecast by Consumer Group & Major Product Category, 2008-2013 (in millions $)
Unit Volume Declines Globally
Figure 2-13: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast, 2008-2013 (in millions of pairs)
Table 2-14: U.S. Footwear Retail Market Unit Volume Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions of pairs)

Chapter 3: Retail & Distribution
Overview
Footwear Distribution Method and Class
Method: Wholesale or Direct
Class: Authorized or Mass
Footwear Retail Channels Overview
Shoe Stores
Discount Shoe Stores
Sporting Goods and Athletic Shoe Stores
General Merchandise: Mass Discounters
General Merchandise: Department Stores and National Chains
Apparel: Specialty Apparel Stores
Apparel: Off-Pricers
Non-Store Retail: Catalog
Non-Store Retail: The Internet
Footwear Retail Sales by Major Channels
Shoe Stores Remain the Medium of Choice
Table 3-1: U.S. Footwear Retail Market by Major Channel, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
General Merchandise Stores Still Second, but Struggling
Apparel Stores Less of a Force
Sporting Goods Stores on the Rise
Catalogs Tried and True, Internet Still on Trial
Zappos.com Gets in Step
Figure 3-1: Share of U.S. Footwear Sales by Major Channel, 2008 (%)
Footwear as a Percent of Retailer Sales by Channel
Table 3-2: U.S. Footwear Retail Sales as a Percent of Selected Retail Channel Sales, 2004-2008 (%)
Retail Channels and Stores by Consumer Preference
Footwear Consumers Prefer to Shop at Specialty Apparel Stores
Figure 3-2: Consumer Penetration Levels for Type of Retail Shopped Most Often for Shoes, by Adult Users, 2008 (%)
Wal-Mart, Payless Still Top Choice for Consumers
Kohl’s Hopes Celebrity Will Kick Sales Up a Notch
Economy Hard on Off-Pricers Too
And from Behind Comes Famous Footwear
Table 3-3: Consumer Penetration Levels for Stores Shopped Most Often for Shoes, by Adult Users, 2006-2008 (%)

Chapter 4: Competitive Landscape
Overview
Footwear Market Highly Fragmented
Nike the Global Leader
Adidas at Number 2
Other Top Competitors: Puma, Asics, New Balance, C&J Clark
Table 4-1: Selected Footwear Marketers with Footwear Sales Greater Than $1.0 Billion, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Athletic Footwear Market More Concentrated at Top
Niche Athletic Sales Lower but Offerings Diverse
Nike Leads U.S. Footwear Market with Double-Digit Share
Followed By Adidas, Jones Apparel in Single Digits
Privately Held Companies Share Considerable
Table 4-2: Selected Global Footwear Marketers with U.S. Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Figure 4-1: Share of U.S. Footwear Wholesale Market by Selected Company, 2008 (%)
Consolidation and Strategic Acquisitions All but Stopped
Nike on the Prowl?
Skechers Diggin’ in Its Heelys
LaCrosse Footwear, Inc. Expands with Sustainable Acquisition
Selected Company Profiles
Nike, Inc.
Overview
Performance
Figure 4-2: Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Table 4-3: Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Sales by Product Category
Figure 4-3: Share of Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales by Product Category, 2009 (%)
Sales by Geographic Region
Figure 4-4: Share of Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales by Geographic Region, 2009 (%)
Footwear Sales Solid Despite Economy
Figure 4-5: Nike, Inc. Footwear Net Sales and Percent of Total Net Sales, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Table 4-4: Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Cole Haan, Converse and Other Sales Did Suffer
Figure 4-6: Nike, Inc. Net Sales of Cole Haan, Converse & Other Products and Percent of Total Net Sales, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Table 4-5: Nike, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2005-2009 (in millions $)
Brand Portfolio
Table 4-6: Nike Brand Portfolio
Timeline of Significant Events
Table 4-7: Nike Timeline of Significant Events
Under Armour, Inc.
Overview
Performance
Figure 4-7: Under Armour, Inc. Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Table 4-8: Under Armour, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Sales by Product Category
Figure 4-8: Share of Under Armour, Inc. Total Net Sales by Product Category, 2008 (%)
Sales by Geographic Region
Figure 4-9: Share of Under Armour, Inc. Total Net Sales by Geographic Region, 2008 (%)
Footwear Sales See Astounding Incremental Growth
Figure 4-10: Under Armour, Inc. Footwear Net Sales and Percent of Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Table 4-9: Under Armour, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Product Portfolio
Table 4-10: Under Armour Footwear Product Portfolio
Timeline of Significant Events
Table 4-11: Under Armour Timeline of Significant Events
Skechers, USA Inc.
Overview
Performance
Figure 4-11: Skechers USA, Inc. Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Table 4-12: Skechers USA, Inc. Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Sales by Channel
Figure 4-12: Share of Skechers USA, Inc. Total Net Sales by Channel, 2008 (%)
Sales by Geographic Region
Figure 4-13: Share of Skechers USA, Inc. Total Net Sales by Geographic Region, 2008 (%)
Product Portfolio
Table 4-13: Skechers USA Footwear Product Portfolio
Table 4-14: Skechers USA Licensed Footwear Product Portfolio
Timeline of Significant Events
Table 4-15: Skechers USA Timeline of Significant Events
Jones Apparel Group
Overview
Performance
Figure 4-14: Jones Apparel Group Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Table 4-16: Jones Apparel Group Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Sales by Channel
Figure 4-15: Share of Jones Apparel Group Total Net Sales by Channel, 2008 (%)
Sales by Geographic Region
Figure 4-16: Share of Jones Apparel Group Total Net Sales by Geographic Region, 2008 (%)
Footwear Sales
Figure 4-17: Jones Apparel Group Footwear & Accessories Net Sales and Percent of Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $))
Table 4-17: Jones Apparel Group Total Net Sales and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2004-2008 (in millions $)
Brand & Product Portfolio
Table 4-18: Jones Apparel Group Footwear Product Portfolio
Timeline of Significant Events
Table 4-19: Jones Apparel Group Timeline of Significant Events
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
Overview
Performance
Figure 4-18: Deckers Outdoor Total Net Sales, 2004-2008 (in millions $)

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