The global apparel industry is expected to continue to feel the effects of the 2007 economic crisis as far into the future as 2019, according to a new report released by just-style.

The report on Tomorrow's Apparel Industry suggests the North American apparel market will recover to similar levels as in 2007 by 2019, but the Western European market will be only around half way between its 2007 and 2013 rock bottom.

Meanwhile the study forecasts moderate growth in Eastern Europe and Turkey, but Japan and South Korea are expected to remain stagnant.

Emerging markets, which have largely been considered powerhouse countries, like China and India, are expected to see growth slowing in 2019.

Changing apparel focuses
With growth set to come from BRIC economies, the report suggested there will be a shift in the types of clothing that are preferred, with consumers from those regions tending to favour more flamboyant garments.

The women's outerwear retail market is expected to recover to US$320bn in 2019, from $310bn in 2007. While the women's underwear retail market will recover to $121bn from $115bn in 2007.

Men's wear apparel is forecast to be worth $152bn in 2019, down on the $155bn it was worth in 2007. Sportswear is expected to be worth $79bn, from $77bn in 2007.

The children's wear retail market is expected to be worth $113bn in 2019, from $112bn in 2007. The study said the growth of the number of children in the developing world does not counterbalance the reductions in spending on young people in developed economies.

Changing distribution methods
While online is expected to take an increasingly large share of retail sales, the study expects bricks-and-mortar retail sales to grow by $15bn between 2013-2019, but this is down on 2007. Traditional stores are expected to account for 63% of market share.

Catalogue mail order will continue to decline, down by a further $1bn, a 2.2% drop, which means the sector will account for 5.7% of sales.

Internet retail catalogue sales will continue to rise, up $7bn, a 14.3% increase, giving it a 7.1% market share, up from 5.2% in 2007. Social networking and other channels will grow by $4bn, a 21% increase on 2013, accounting for almost 3% of retail sales.

Sourcing and production
The report forecasts a slow growth in the manufacturing value of the apparel industry in the years to 2019 due to a highly competitive retail scenario, downward pressure by wholesalers on manufacturers as more business is done online, and continued shifts to lower cost countries.

The study expects North American and Western European manufacturing will both continue to see declines. As European brands and wholesalers move into developing nations, they will also move manufacturing to those regions.

Manufacturing in Eastern Europe and Turkey is expected to stagnate, while Japan and South Korea will decline.

The rest of the world will see manufacturing gains, with more manufacturing moving to countries like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Vietnam.

Click here for more information on the 'Tomorrow's Apparel Industry' report.