• A new report that assesses the risk of modern slavery across global supply chains has found the EU faces the largest rise in risk of any region, due mainly to an increase in the exploitation of migrants;
  • The migrant entry points of Romania, Greece, Italy, Cyprus and Bulgaria are the highest risk countries within the bloc;
  • Romania and Turkey have seen the sharpest rise in risk globally;
  • Germany and the UK have experienced slight negative shifts in their scores, taking them just over the 'low risk' threshold into the 'medium risk' category of the index;
  • Despite being rated as 'extreme risk' for violations, India and Thailand, have shown improvements, due to better efforts to enforce slavery related laws;
  • China, ranked 21st highest risk, remains in the 'extreme risk' category of the index.
The biggest movers on Verisk Maplecrofts Modern Slavery Index 2017. The pink line represents Turkey.

The biggest movers on Verisk Maplecroft's Modern Slavery Index 2017. The pink line represents Turkey.

An influx of migrants into the European Union has raised the risk of modern slavery across 20 EU member states, according to a new global ranking, which also suggests forced labour violations remain high in Asia's top sourcing locations.

The second annual Modern Slavery Index (MSI) from global risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft assesses 198 countries on the strength of their laws, the effectiveness of their enforcement and the severity of violations.

The study found modern slavery risks have risen in nearly three-quarters of the 28 member states of the European Union over the last year, with drops in the scores for 20 countries across the bloc.

The five EU countries posing the highest risk are Romania, Greece, Italy, Cyprus and Bulgaria – key entry points for migrants into the region who are extremely vulnerable to exploitation.

The slavery situation in Romania is deemed as deteriorating worse than any country globally, with it falling 56 places in the ranking to 66th highest risk. Romania and Italy (ranked 133rd, a drop of 17 places), have the worst reported violations in the EU, including severe forms of forced labour, such as servitude and trafficking.

Exploitation of migrants driving rise in EU modern slavery risks

The International Organisation for Migration estimates that over 100,000 migrants have entered Europe by sea in 2017, with  85% landing  in Italy. Arrivals in Greece (129th) have fallen dramatically since the 2016 signing of the EU-Turkey Refugee Agreement, but the country, which dropped 16 places in the index, is host to significant numbers of migrants and remains a key destination for human trafficking.

According to Verisk Maplecroft, the presence of these vulnerable migrant populations in the primary countries of arrival is a key contributor for increases in slavery across multiple sectors in the region, such as agriculture, construction and services.

Due to the geographic shift in migrant sea arrivals, the risk of modern slavery is expected to worsen in Italy over the next year.

"The migrant crisis has increased the risk of slavery incidents appearing in company supply chains across Europe," states Sam Haynes, senior human rights analyst at Verisk Maplecroft.

"It is no longer just the traditional sourcing hotspots in the emerging economies that businesses should pay attention to when risk assessing their suppliers and the commodities they source."

Even the EU's biggest economies are not immune to the rise in slavery risk. Germany and the UK have seen slight negative shifts in their scores, taking them just over the 'low risk' threshold into the 'medium risk' category of the index. New data has revealed gaps in the UK's labour inspectorate, while Germany has experienced an uptick in recorded trafficking and servitude violations.

Turkey's MSI ranking plunges

Outside of the EU, Turkey experienced the world's second largest drop in the Modern Slavery Index, falling from 110th to 58th most at risk and slipping into the 'high risk' category. The influx of 100,000s of refugees from the Syrian war, combined with Turkey's restrictive work permit system, has led to thousands becoming part of the informal workforce. Policing labour violations is also no longer a priority for the government, which is focused on the political crackdown, further adding to the risk.

Over the last year, several large brands sourcing from Turkish textile factories have been associated with high profile incidents of child labour and slavery.

Forced labour violations remain high in Asia's top sourcing locations

With new and emerging legislation on modern slavery and human rights appearing in the UK, France, the Netherlands and Australia, the research shows that top sourcing locations in the emerging markets should, however, remain firmly on the radar of companies.

The chief Asian manufacturing hubs, Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Thailand, all feature in the 'extreme' or 'high risk' categories.

Despite being rated as 'extreme risk' in the part of the index measuring the severity and frequency of slavery violations, India and Thailand have nevertheless shown improvements in their scores, due to better efforts to enforce slavery related laws.

India has improved more than any other country – moving from 15th worst to 49th in the overall index. Thailand's action on enforcing a national programme to eliminate slavery and trafficking, meanwhile, has moved it 21 places up the ranking to 48th highest risk.

However, Verisk Maplecroft stresses that slavery in both countries remains a significant problem. In India, severe forms of slavery are common in construction, brick kilns, garment production, manufacturing and farming; while in Thailand, the worst abuses still frequently occur in sectors such as manufacturing, agriculture, fishing and rubber production.

China, ranked 21st in the index, remains firmly entrenched among the worst performing countries in the 'extreme risk' category.

North Korea, Syria, South Sudan, Yemen, DR Congo, Sudan, Iran, Libya, Eritrea and Turkmenistan are rated by the Modern Slavery Index as posing the highest risk of all countries measured.